Historic Hopes and Rising Stars: Olympic Jumping Teams Gear Up for Thrilling Final

Of the 10 nations qualified for today’s Olympic Team Final, three have never won Team Gold. Yesterday’s eye-catching team Germany, on the other hand, is the most decorated jumping team in Olympic history. With numerous nations bidding to win their first gold and other teams fighting to keep growing their legacy, it is bound to be a thrilling final.

By Charlotte Smet /

August 2, 2024

One of the favourites for tomorrow's gold, Team Ireland, has actually never finished higher than 7th in the Jumping Olympic Team competition (& that was way back in 1956). Their biggest rivals today are the defending champions and sports-dominating Swedes.

Team Ireland 
20% win chance 

Back in 1956, Team Ireland finished 7th in the Jumping Olympic Team competition in Stockholm. To this day, they have never finished higher in the Olympic team competition. It is time that changed.

The Irish team comfortably qualified for the final and will be entering as the favourites to win on a win chance of 20%. Our predictions also give them a 45% chance of winning their first-ever team medal.


Team Sweden
18% win chance

They are the defending champions. They hold current Olympic, World and European titles. Sweden has been synonymous with jumping success in recent years, a charge that has been led by the record-breaking equine athlete that is King Edward. But none of this would have been possible without the relentless dedication from the Swedish human athletes. A team with meticulous management, team spirit and horsemanship that knows how to get the best out of their horses on the days when it matters. Today, it matters more than ever.

They enter today's Team Final as second favourites on a win chance of 18% and 48% of bringing home a medal. Will the Swedish success story continue in Paris?


Team USA
14% win chance

Team USA have won the Team Silver at the last two Olympic Games and with the exhibition they showed in yesterday’s qualifier, they have shown class and power enough to bid for the gold. It was in 2008 that the USA last won Team Gold in jumping. Two of those team members, McLain Ward & Laura Kraut, are on the 2024 team to repeat that performance 16 years down the line. They are in good company, as reserve combination Karl Cook and Caracole de la Roque got a late call-up to replace Kent Farrington and Greya on the team. No problem for the pair, as they handled the pressure of the substitution with ease to produce a solid clear.

A solid team built from experience, class and form. They enter the Final as third favourites with a 14% win chance.


Team Belgium
12% win chance

The Belgians were brilliant in their Team Qualifier today. A team that has all the ingredients to succeed. With the highly experienced pair, Jerome Guery & 18-year-old multi-medalist Quel Homme de Hus, the young sensations in Gilles Thomas & Ermitage Kalone and the calm and collected Wilm Vermeir & his IQ van het Steentje, the Belgians are a team not to be missed in the Final.

Despite winning the bronze medal at the last Olympics in Tokyo, it is absolutely incredible to say that Belgium has never won a Team Gold medal at the Jumping Olympics. As a matter of fact, the nation where equestrianism is almost ingrained in its culture has only ever medalled three times in the history of the Games. With a team like this, there is no better time to add another medal to that tally.


Team Germany
11% win chance

They were the eye-catchers in today's qualifier by being the only team finishing the competition on a zero score, with a 6 penalty margin over the USA. With flawless performances from Christian Kukuk & Checker 47, Philipp Weishaupt & Zineday and Richard Vogel & United Touch S, the German team have shown they have the skill and precision it takes to deliver another gold medal performance

Germany has been steeped in history as the most successful nation in Olympic Team Jumping. With a whopping 14 medals, of which 8 gold, no nation in tomorrow's Team Final is more decorated.

The team enters tomorrow's Team Final as fifth favourites with a 14% win chance


Team Mexico
2% win chance

The Mexicans have found their momentum. After this charismatic and exciting team finished second in the Mercedes-Benz Nations Cup of Aachen, the Mexicans have continued to ride the wave of success. Despite a setback necessitating the reserve combination to step in, they have thrived under the pressure and against the odds qualified for the Team Final. Olympic debutante & team pathfinder, Carlos Hank Guerreiro produced the best team score at just 24 years of age.

It's been 44 years since Mexico last graced the podium of a Jumping Olympic Team competition. Can they do it again?

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