Day 1 Matters… A Lot

The trend is hard to ignore: every World Cup champion since 2017 has led after the first round. In fact, you’d have to go back to 2010 to find a winner who wasn’t in the top 6 after Day 1. That’s the kind of stat that makes you think: this thing is already decided.

But Hold On—Here Comes the Data!

Despite the leaderboard, our predictive analytics platform gives Ben Maher and Point Break a 28% win chance—more than double Julien’s. And it’s not just about vibes. It’s about form.

Point Break has delivered 12 clears in his last 15 rounds, with only three rails since November 2024. That’s world-class consistency at the top level.

Donatello D’Auge, Julien’s mount, has had just 3 clear rounds in 11 starts over the same period. That’s a big gap.

Clean. Consistent. Clutch.

Ben Maher sits just behind Julien after Day 1, and our numbers say he's the one to beat heading into the final rounds. Form matters. And while trends point one way, the data tells another story.

Who are you backing to be crowned World Cup Champion by Sunday?