The Perfect Record Club: Five Clear Through Three Rounds at Aachen
Five combinations have gone through Aachen without a single fault, and three of them now sit above 20 percent to win it.
Five combinations have jumped clear through every round of the FEI Jumping World Championships so far. Three of them now sit above 20 percent to win the individual title heading into Sunday's final.
Steve Guerdat and Dynamix de Belheme lead the way on 28 percent, up 17 points on the last update. He went clear in Wednesday's qualifier and clear in both rounds of the team competition. Ben Maher and Point Break sit second on 24 percent, up 10. Daniel Deusser and Otello de Guldenboom are third on 20 percent, up 13. All three have gone through the championship so far without touching a pole.
The clean sheet club
Five riders have gone through Wednesday's qualifier and both rounds of the team competition without a single fault. Three are the market leaders. Two are a bit further back in the model but still very much alive with a mistake-free week behind them.
Ten inside a rail
The gap behind the leaders is thin. Ten combinations sit inside a rail of each other, from Dynamix de Belheme's score of 0.86 down to Hello Mango on 4.80. That keeps riders with one blemish each firmly alive.
| Horse & Rider | Nation | Win % | Change | Podium % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dynamix de Belheme Steve Guerdat |
SUI | 28% | +17% | 50% |
| Point Break Ben Maher |
GBR | 24% | +10% | 53% |
| Otello de Guldenboom Daniel Deusser |
GER | 20% | +13% | 39% |
| Iron Dames Singclair Sophie Hinners |
GER | 12% | -8% | 37% |
| Coolio 42 Marcus Ehning |
GER | 9% | +6% | 28% |
| Wathnan Quaker Brimbelles Z Abdel Saïd |
BEL | 4% | +3% | 16% |
| Hantano Piergiorgio Bucci |
ITA | 3% | +2% | 13% |
| Hello Mango Scott Brash |
GBR | 3% | -7% | 13% |
| United Touch S Richard Vogel |
GER | 1% | -2% | 11% |
| Baloutinue Laura Kraut |
USA | 1% | -4% | 8% |
| Tornado VS Armando Trapote |
ESP | 1% | +1% | 5% |
| Dez' Ooktoff Roberto Teran Tafur |
COL | 1% | +1% | 5% |
Who fell, who's climbing back
Sophie Hinners had a clean sheet until a single time fault in round two of the team final on Friday. It cost 8 points off her win chance, though Iron Dames Singclair still holds a very high podium chance in the field at 37 percent.
Scott Brash was faultless on Wednesday and Thursday, then picked up four faults on Friday. Hello Mango's win chance dropped 7 points to 3 percent.
Richard Vogel had a rail on day one, then two time penalties in round two of the team final. United Touch S is down to 1 percent for the win and 11 percent for the podium. Laura Kraut and Baloutinue went a similar way, clear on Wednesday and Thursday before four faults on Friday dropped her win chance from 5 percent to 1.
Piergiorgio Bucci's only mistake of the week came in Wednesday's qualifier. Two clear rounds since have nudged Hantano back up to 3 percent win chance and a podium chance of 13 percent. Armando Trapote's Tornado VS tells a similar story, a pair of rails on day one proved costly, then double clear to comeback in Thursday and Friday's qualifiers, though the damage from day one still leaves him on 1 percent for the win.
Three riders sit inside eight points of win chance. A single rail separates the top 10. Sunday's final round looks like it will come down to who keeps their nerve, not who has the biggest win chance next to their name tonight.