Who Will Triumph in the Grand Prix of San Juan Capistrano? Top Contenders Revealed

According to the EquiRatings Prediction Centre, one rider is the firm favorite to take the win on home soil.

Tonight marks the first time a five-star Grand Prix will be held at San Juan Capistrano in California, USA. Both the US riders and the Irish contingent are eager to compete for the victory.


Home rider Karl Cook and his mare Kalinka van 't Zorgvliet (749) are the clear favorites to win in San Juan Capistrano today. As the second-highest rated pair in the field this week, they are predicted to have a 15% chance of victory. The 13-year-old mare has an impressive track record at the 5* 160 level throughout her career. With only 7 starts at that level, she has achieved 5 clear rounds, 3 wins, and 2 additional top 5 finishes. This combination is currently in thrilling form and could add another victory to their list of achievements.

When it comes to a jump-off, Conor Swail and Count Me In (734) are always a force to be reckoned with. The EquiRatings Prediction Centre assigns them a 12% chance of winning. The pair has proven their success on large grass arenas, delivering a crucial double clear on home soil in Dublin to help Ireland secure victory in the Nations Cup. They also achieved an impressive win in a 160 class at Spruce Meadows.

Laura Kraut has been in fantastic form recently. While she has mainly focused on her top horse Baloutinue in recent weeks, today she will be competing with the less experienced Calgary Tame (720). Despite this being the 11-year-old horse's first 160 track of the year, they still have an 11% chance of winning.

Both Andrew Bourns on Sea Topblue (706) and Lillie Keenan on Agana van het Gerendal Z (693) boast win chances of 9%.

Xg Bhl These Are the Top 10 Elo Rated Horses for Csio5 San Juan Capistrano

Click here to see the EquiRatings Jumping Prediction Centre for the CSIO5* Grand Prix of San Juan Capistrano.

Stay Ahead with EquiRatings Insights

Unlock the power of data-driven equestrian insights! Subscribe to EquiRatings' newsletter for the latest news in Eventing and Show Jumping, delivered straight to your inbox. Get exclusive access to expert analysis, performance metrics, and captivating stories that keep you ahead of the curve.